Hello. Sign In
Standards Store




Flood Hazard Mapping: Uncertainty and its Value in the Decision-making Process

2016 Edition, December 6, 2016

Complete Document



Detail Summary

Active, Most Current

EN
Additional Comments:
ISBN: 9781351652452
Format
Details
Price (USD)
Print
Backordered
$66.00
Add to Cart

Product Details:

  • Revision: 2016 Edition, December 6, 2016
  • Published Date: December 6, 2016
  • Status: Active, Most Current
  • Document Language: English
  • Published By: CRC Press (CRC)
  • Page Count: 149
  • ANSI Approved: No
  • DoD Adopted: No

Description / Abstract:

Computers are increasingly used in the simulation of natural phenomena such as floods. However, these simulations are based on numerical approximations of equations formalizing our conceptual understanding of flood flows. Thus, model results are intrinsically subject to uncertainty and the use of probabilistic approaches seems more appropriate. Uncertain, probabilistic floodplain maps are widely used in the scientific domain, but still not sufficiently exploited to support the development of flood mitigation strategies.

In this thesis the major sources of uncertainty in flood inundation models are analyzed, resulting in the generation of probabilistic floodplain maps. The utility of probabilistic model output is assessed using value of information and the prospect theory. The use of these maps to support decision making in terms of floodplain development under flood hazard threat is demonstrated.

author:  Micah Mukungu Mukolwe