INTRODUCTION

The ICAO Africa-Indian Ocean Traffic Forecasting Group (AFI TFG) was set up in 1998 with the objective of developing traffic forecasts and other planning parameters in support of the planning of air navigation services in the AFI region. It has so far held six meetings in 1998, 2001, 2003, 2006, 2009 and 2011.

This report provides forecasts prepared by the sixth meeting of the AFI TFG held in Seychelles, from 20 to 24 June 2011. The passenger traffic forecasts were developed on the basis of major route groups (region-pairs) using econometric modelling. They were then converted into aircraft movements and expanded to the city-pair level.